PolyU IR

PolyU Institutional Repository >
Hotel and Tourism Management >
SHTM Journal/Magazine Articles >

Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10397/1321

Title: Recent developments in econometric modeling and forecasting
Authors: Li, Gang
Song, Haiyan
Witt, Stephen F.
Subjects: Tourism demand
Issue Date: 1-Aug-2005
Publisher: Published by Sage on behalf of Travel and Tourism Research Association
Citation: Journal of travel research, 1 Aug. 2005, v. 44, no. 1, p. 82-99.
Abstract: Eighty-four post-1990 empirical studies of international tourism demand modeling and forecasting using econometric approaches are reviewed. New developments are identified, and it is shown that applications of advanced econometric methods improve the understanding of international tourism demand. An examination of the 22 studies that compare forecasting performance suggests that no single forecasting method can outperform the alternatives in all cases. The time-varying parameter (TVP) model and structural time-series model with causal variables, however, perform consistently well.
Description: DOI: 10.1177/0047287505276594
Rights: © 2005 Sage Publications.
Type: Journal/Magazine Article
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/10397/1321
ISSN: 0047-2875 (Print)
1552-6763 (Online)
Appears in Collections:SHTM Journal/Magazine Articles

Files in This Item:

File Description SizeFormat
02-Review of tourism demand studies JTR SSOL version.pdfPre-published version341.76 kBAdobe PDFView/Open
Locate publisher version via PolyU eLinks

Facebook Facebook del.icio.us del.icio.us LinkedIn LinkedIn

All items in the PolyU Institutional Repository are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.
No item in the PolyU IR may be reproduced for commercial or resale purposes.


© Pao Yue-kong Library, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hung Hom, Kowloon, Hong Kong
Powered by DSpace (Version 1.5.2)  © MIT and HP
Feedback | Privacy Policy Statement | Copyright & Restrictions - Feedback